Acheiro

Market validation, end to end

A clear answer on whether your idea has a market.

Describe your idea once. We run the market scan and the qualitative research a careful founder would do, and return a verdict with the evidence behind it.

See a real verdict
Framing
Stage B ReportRUN · 2026·05 · ACH-2A7FComplete
Verdict · Negative

This idea likely won’t find a market in its current form.

Trigger0
4W context0
Barrier belief0
Activate belief0
Generated 2 min ago7 hypotheses · 192 focal users · Stage A + B
6–12 daysEnd to end, brief to report
$700–1,300Per run · no subscription
100–300Focal users mined per run
Every claimTraced to its source post

How it works

One screen of input. The rest happens without you.

Click through the four steps. These are the real product screens you see.

New run· unsaved ·Draft
United States Canada + add country
Stage C · Quantitative validationAvailable in V2.
—
Stage D · In-market testAvailable in V3.
—
We’ll extract anything you skipped during Stage A.Start run
Token balance2,000This run1,000

A sample finding

The actual Stage B report. Anonymized.

Hover a score for its evidence trace
Stage B ReportRUN · 2026·05 · ACH-2A7FComplete
Verdict · Negative

This idea likely won’t find a market in its current form.

Of seven hypotheses tested, two met your Recommended thresholds and five did not. Tool-purchase regret is well attested across the corpus, but logistics friction and trust-in-strangers recur as decisive barriers to a hyperlocal peer-rental flow.

Hypothesis H-3One of seven tested in this run.
Demoted

“Suburban homeowners with active DIY routines will repeatedly rent specialized tools from neighbors within walking distance instead of buying.”

Supporting
“I needed a tile saw for one weekend. Paid $380 at the big-box place. It’s been in my garage for two years. Used it twice.”
Reddit · r/HomeImprovement · u/parsleyflats · Mar 2026
Disconfirming
“The last thing I want on a Saturday morning is to coordinate a pickup window with a stranger four blocks away. Home Depot is open at 6am and the saw is there.”
YouTube · DIY Den · top-comment thread · Jan 2026
Robustness: DemotedMethodologyShare linkDownload PDF

Why this exists

The honest research that should happen first usually doesn’t.

Same posture a careful researcher takes — falsification, traceable evidence — run end to end and priced like research, not like SaaS.

A round of user interviews
Acheiro
Time end to end
About four weeks
6–12 days
Cost
$3,000–$6,000
$700–$1,300
Sample size
12 people
100–300 focal users
Evidence trail
Hand-written notes
Linked source post for every quote
Methodology
Improvised per researcher
Yale BEI · falsification · audit log
Posture
Open-ended exploration
Test where the idea fails

Figures from typical seed-stage research vendor quotes, 2025.

Pricing

Pay per run. No subscription.

Token bundles, priced once. Tokens don’t expire. Run Stage A on its own to gut-check a category, or commit to Stage A + B and walk out with a verdict.

See the full pricing
Stage APre-flight scan, market signals, threshold approval.from $200
Stage A + BFull qualitative validation. Verdict, hypothesis bank, evidence.from $700
Stage CQuantitative panel survey, element-by-element diagnostic.V2
Stage DIn-market test on paid short-form video.V3

FAQ

Questions founders ask before their first run.

A verdict is one short sentence stating what the evidence supports — phrased as a conclusion a careful analyst would state, not a prescription. We never tell you to kill your idea. We state which of the kill thresholds you approved at the start of the run were met, and which were not. The decision is yours.
Twelve well-run interviews cost $3,000–$6,000 and take roughly a month. We mine the consumer voice that already exists on Reddit and YouTube, typically hundreds of focal users per run, under a documented methodology. We aren’t faster than a researcher; we’re cheaper, more comprehensive, and end to end. If your category doesn’t live online, the pre-flight scan flags that before you spend a Stage B token.
Reddit and YouTube comments in V1, scoped to the communities and channels your target consumer talks in. Every quote in your report links back to its source post. We work under the official Reddit Data API and respect deletion propagation. TikTok and Instagram are on the roadmap.
Stage A — the pre-flight scan that runs before Stage B begins — checks where your target consumer talks about their problems. If your audience sits primarily on TikTok, in private communities, or in a vertical we can’t reach yet, Stage A surfaces this as a risk flag and you can stop before paying for Stage B.
Stage A completes in roughly four to twelve hours. Stage B in three to six days. Tokens for each stage are reserved at the start and consumed as the stage begins; if a stage fails, the unconsumed tokens are credited back automatically.
Yes. The methodology page covers the falsification stance, the qualitative pipeline, source policy, and the academic work it leans on (Yale BEI, Anderson & Simester, Thomke & Kohavi). Every report ships with a methodology appendix specific to that run.